Proposition 2 is favored at 81% as of 16 Sep 2026, 03:05 UTC across 13 markets.
- Proposition 2: 81% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 1: 79% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 3: 73% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 5: 66% (24h change -8%)
- Proposition 45: 62% (24h change -6%)
- Proposition 37: 61% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 42: 48% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 43: 43% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 41: 43% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 4: 43% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 44: 36% (24h change -3%)
- Proposition 38: 29% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 39: 23% (24h change 0%)
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
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About this market
Market question: Which ballot measures will pass in California?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which ballot measures will pass in California?
Proposition 2 is favored at 81% as of 16 Sep 2026, 03:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which ballot measures will pass in California?
Proposition 2: 81%; Proposition 1: 79%; Proposition 3: 73%; Proposition 5: 66%; Proposition 45: 62%; Proposition 37: 61%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.