Proposition 2 is favored at 81% as of 1 Oct 2026, 17:37 UTC across 13 markets.
- Proposition 2: 81% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 1: 79% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 3: 76% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 37: 64% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 45: 57% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 42: 54% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 41: 45% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 38: 37% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 5: 35% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 44: 30% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 39: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Proposition 43: 19% (24h change -15%)
- Proposition 4: 13% (24h change 0%)
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
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About this market
Market question: Which ballot measures will pass in California?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which ballot measures will pass in California?
Proposition 2 is favored at 81% as of 1 Oct 2026, 17:37 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which ballot measures will pass in California?
Proposition 2: 81%; Proposition 1: 79%; Proposition 3: 76%; Proposition 37: 64%; Proposition 45: 57%; Proposition 42: 54%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.