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Powered by KalshiFL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·98%(+93%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+91.6%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-91%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·98%(+91%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+90%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Oliver Gilbert·99%(+89%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Jim Schwartzel·99%(+88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-87%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-85%)TN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·9.5%(-84.3%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Amir Ohana·1%(-83%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 60%·1%(-83%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·99%(+81%)FL-15 Democratic nominee?·Chris Irizarry·2%(-80%)
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Summary

Raphaël Glucksmann is favored at 43% as of 19 Aug 2026, 02:33 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Raphaël Glucksmann: 43% (24h change +6%)
  • Boris Vallaud: 32% (24h change +2%)
  • Olivier Faure: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • François Hollande: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Bernard Cazeneuve: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Philippe Brun: 4% (24h change 0%)
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French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?

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