Raphaël Glucksmann is favored at 87% as of 9 Oct 2026, 02:06 UTC across 6 markets.
- Raphaël Glucksmann: 87% (24h change 0%)
- Olivier Faure: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Bernard Cazeneuve: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Boris Vallaud: 3% (24h change 0%)
- François Hollande: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Philippe Brun: 1% (24h change 0%)
French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?
Raphaël Glucksmann is favored at 87% as of 9 Oct 2026, 02:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?
Raphaël Glucksmann: 87%; Olivier Faure: 16%; Bernard Cazeneuve: 12%; Boris Vallaud: 3%; François Hollande: 2%; Philippe Brun: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.