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Powered by KalshiWho will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?·John Healey·99%(+98%)Alaska Governor winner? (Person)·Lesil McGuire·90%(+89%)São Toméan presidential election winner?·Miques João Bonfim·1%(-89%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/19-7/25)·At least 8·99%(+87%)Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/19 - 7/25)·Above 0·99%(+84%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Rachel Reeves·3%(-66%)Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?·No new person·1%(-65%)Texas's 15th District margin of victory·Democrats, 2+ pts·38%(-59.4%)Who will run for South Carolina Senate?·Nancy Mace·2%(-54%)Clacton by-election margin of victory?·Reform UK, ≥55%·51%(+44%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·19%(-41%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 17+ pts·53%(+40%)How many states will Trump visit in Jul 2026?·8·14%(-40%)Ottawa mayoral election winner?·Mark Sutcliffe·38%(-37%)Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(+36%)
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Summary

Alexander Stubb is favored at 18% as of 15 Jul 2026, 23:32 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Alexander Stubb: 18% (24h change 0%)
  • Keir Starmer: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Petr Pavel: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Klaus Iohannis: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • Kaja Kallas: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Ben Wallace: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Mette Frederiksen: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Ursula von der Leyen: 4% (24h change 0%)
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Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?

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