Mette Frederiksen is favored at 28% as of 30 Sep 2026, 03:34 UTC across 8 markets.
- Mette Frederiksen: 28% (24h change 0%)
- Kaja Kallas: 17% (24h change 0%)
- Keir Starmer: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Petr Pavel: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Klaus Iohannis: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Alexander Stubb: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Ben Wallace: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Ursula von der Leyen: 1% (24h change 0%)
Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
Mette Frederiksen is favored at 28% as of 30 Sep 2026, 03:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
Mette Frederiksen: 28%; Kaja Kallas: 17%; Keir Starmer: 15%; Petr Pavel: 9%; Klaus Iohannis: 8%; Alexander Stubb: 6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.