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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%·2%(-96%)Florida Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 10+ pts·92.4%(+81.4%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·13%(-72%)FL-25 Democratic primary: Jared Moskowitz vote percent·At least 60%·78%(+53%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #110·16%(-49%)FL-25 Republican nominee?·Dan Franzese·55%(+42%)Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?·South Carolina·69%(+39%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·77%(+39%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·12%(-38%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Elaine Pelino·94%(+35%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Amir Ohana·72%(+35%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·70%(+33%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?·At least 2·57%(+33%)FL-25 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Jared Moskowitz, ≥15%·69%(+33%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·77%(+31%)
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Summary

Alexander Stubb is favored at 24% as of 17 Aug 2026, 10:32 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Alexander Stubb: 24% (24h change 0%)
  • Petr Pavel: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Kaja Kallas: 11% (24h change -6%)
  • Mette Frederiksen: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Ursula von der Leyen: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Ben Wallace: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Klaus Iohannis: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Keir Starmer: 6% (24h change 0%)
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Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?

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Kaja Kallas

11%
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