Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWill Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·95.3%(+93.3%)WA-06 primary: who will advance?·Teresa Fox·91%(+73%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Todd Warner·34%(-43%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%·9%(-41%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·3%(-38%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·45%(-35%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Graham Platner·10%(-29%)When will a Trump passport be issued?·Before Jul 20, 2026·99%(+25%)Maine-Texas Senate Combo·James Talarico and Graham Platner·2%(-24%)AL-01 Republican nominee?·Jerry Carl·94%(+22%)Who will AOC endorse?·Graham Platner·5%(-22%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·39%(+22%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/5 - 7/11)·Above 0·39%(-19%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·25 to 99·55%(+19%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before Nov 1, 2026·27%(+18%)
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Live summary

Before Jan 21, 2029 is favored at 31% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC across 3 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Before Jan 21, 2029: 31% (24h change -2%)
  • Before Jan 2028: 21% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 2027: 5.1% (24h change -2.1%)
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Before Jan 2027

5.1%
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