Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+94%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·2%(-74%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-61%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·4%(-55%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 325k·16%(-54%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.7 to 39.9·51%(+48%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?·39.2·1%(-43%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 5·7%(-41%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)US test scores in Reading in 2026?·No significant difference·51%(+38%)FL-14 House winner?·Mike Beltran·39%(-36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-35.7%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 0·30%(-33%)

Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+94%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·2%(-74%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-61%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·4%(-55%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 325k·16%(-54%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.7 to 39.9·51%(+48%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?·39.2·1%(-43%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 5·7%(-41%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)US test scores in Reading in 2026?·No significant difference·51%(+38%)FL-14 House winner?·Mike Beltran·39%(-36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-35.7%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 0·30%(-33%)

Summary

Before Jan 21, 2029 is favored at 23% as of 20 Aug 2026, 15:33 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

policy3 marketsLIVE

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Odds history

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Before Jan 21, 2029

23%

▲ +6%

$89K

Before Jan 2028

18%

▲ +4%

$91K

Before Jan 2027

4.7%

▼ -2.3%

$153K