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Live market summary

Before Jan 21, 2029 is favored at 20% as of 5 Oct 2026, 06:34 UTC across 3 markets.

  • Before Jan 21, 2029: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 2028: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 2027: 3.7% (24h change 0%)
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Will the US acquire any new territory?

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About this market

Market question: Will the US acquire any new territory?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029 is favored at 20% as of 5 Oct 2026, 06:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029: 20%; Before Jan 2028: 17%; Before Jan 2027: 3.7%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.