Democratic by 91 to 130 is favored at 14% as of 16 Sep 2026, 03:35 UTC across 14 markets.
- Democratic by 91 to 130: 14% (24h change 0%)
- Democratic by 61 to 90: 12% (24h change 0%)
- Democratic by 31 to 60: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Democratic by 11 to 30: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Republican by 1 to 10: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Democratic by 131 to 210: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Republican by 11 to 30: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Republican by 61 to 90: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Democratic by 1 to 10: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Republican by 91 to 130: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Republican by 31 to 60: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Democratic by 211 or more: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Republican by 211 or more: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Republican by 131 to 210: 1% (24h change 0%)
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
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About this market
Market question: 2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
Democratic by 91 to 130 is favored at 14% as of 16 Sep 2026, 03:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
Democratic by 91 to 130: 14%; Democratic by 61 to 90: 12%; Democratic by 31 to 60: 11%; Democratic by 11 to 30: 6%; Republican by 1 to 10: 4%; Democratic by 131 to 210: 4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.