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Powered by KalshiTN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·93.8%(+88.8%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·11%(-87%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·BPC-157·10%(-80%)Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 10.00M·2%(-78%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Karoline Leavitt·99.4%(+73.4%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·18%(-60%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/9-8/15)·At least 1·12%(-58%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·No new person·1%(-57%)Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·5.8%(-56.2%)When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?·Before Jan 1, 2027·37%(-54%)TN-05 House winner?·Chaz Molder·6.5%(-53.5%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·60%(+51.3%)CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent·At least 31%·98%(+50%)Swiss initiatives: September 2026·Neutrality Initiative·52%(+47%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/7-8/14)?·Above 6.7%·25%(-46%)
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Summary

Democratic by 91 to 130 is favored at 14% as of 1 Aug 2026, 17:33 UTC across 10 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democratic by 91 to 130: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 61 to 90: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 31 to 60: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 11 to 30: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 1 to 10: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 31 to 60: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 211 or more: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 131 to 210: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Republican by 1 to 10: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic by 211 or more: 3% (24h change 0%)
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2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

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