Gavin Newsom is favored at 85% as of 19 Aug 2026, 18:33 UTC across 38 markets. Kalshi odds.

• Gavin Newsom: 85% (24h change 0%)
• Rahm Emanuel: 85% (24h change 0%)
• Pete Buttigieg: 83% (24h change +2%)
• Andy Beshear: 80% (24h change 0%)
• Kamala Harris: 78% (24h change +3%)
• Ro Khanna: 78% (24h change 0%)
• Cory Booker: 74% (24h change 0%)
• Josh Shapiro: 74% (24h change 0%)
• J.B. Pritzker: 71% (24h change 0%)
• Mark Kelly: 70% (24h change 0%)
• Jon Ossoff: 68% (24h change -1%)
• Chris Murphy: 67% (24h change 0%)
• Wes Moore: 66% (24h change 0%)
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 62% (24h change -5%)
• Mitch Landrieu: 59% (24h change 0%)
• Elissa Slotkin: 51% (24h change +4%)
• Jared Polis: 40% (24h change +4%)
• Shawn Fain: 38% (24h change 0%)
• Raphael Warnock: 36% (24h change 0%)
• Ruben Gallego: 31% (24h change 0%)
• Phil Murphy: 28% (24h change 0%)
• Chris Van Hollen: 28% (24h change 0%)
• Gretchen Whitmer: 26% (24h change +1%)
• John Fetterman: 22% (24h change 0%)
• Dean Phillips: 22% (24h change 0%)
• Abigail Spanberger: 22% (24h change 0%)
• Stephen A. Smith: 20% (24h change -5%)
• Roy Cooper: 19% (24h change 0%)
• Mikie Sherrill: 18% (24h change 0%)
• Mark Cuban: 17% (24h change 0%)
• Hunter Biden: 16% (24h change 0%)
• Jon Stewart: 12% (24h change 0%)
• Michelle Obama: 11% (24h change 0%)
• James Talarico: 11% (24h change 0%)
• Tim Walz: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
• Amy Klobuchar: 9% (24h change 0%)
• Hillary Clinton: 4.9% (24h change 0%)
• Barack Obama: 1.3% (24h change 0%)