Gavin Newsom is favored at 86% as of 6 Jul 2026, 19:33 UTC across 36 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

• Gavin Newsom: 86% (24h change 0%)
• Andy Beshear: 86% (24h change 0%)
• Pete Buttigieg: 82% (24h change -2%)
• Josh Shapiro: 75% (24h change -6%)
• Kamala Harris: 75% (24h change 0%)
• J.B. Pritzker: 74% (24h change -6%)
• Cory Booker: 73% (24h change +1%)
• Rahm Emanuel: 73% (24h change -1%)
• Ro Khanna: 72% (24h change 0%)
• Chris Murphy: 67% (24h change -5%)
• Mark Kelly: 64% (24h change -1%)
• Jon Ossoff: 64% (24h change -2%)
• Wes Moore: 62% (24h change -6%)
• Mitch Landrieu: 61% (24h change +1%)
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 59% (24h change +3%)
• Jared Polis: 40% (24h change 0%)
• Elissa Slotkin: 36% (24h change -7%)
• Chris Van Hollen: 31% (24h change 0%)
• Raphael Warnock: 30% (24h change 0%)
• Roy Cooper: 29% (24h change +6%)
• Dean Phillips: 29% (24h change 0%)
• Phil Murphy: 29% (24h change 0%)
• Abigail Spanberger: 28% (24h change 0%)
• Gretchen Whitmer: 26% (24h change +1%)
• Stephen A. Smith: 23% (24h change 0%)
• Hunter Biden: 21% (24h change +3%)
• Ruben Gallego: 21% (24h change 0%)
• John Fetterman: 19% (24h change 0%)
• Mikie Sherrill: 17% (24h change 0%)
• Mark Cuban: 15% (24h change 0%)
• James Talarico: 15% (24h change 0%)
• Tim Walz: 13% (24h change +8.3%)
• Jon Stewart: 12% (24h change 0%)
• Michelle Obama: 6.2% (24h change 0%)
• Hillary Clinton: 5.4% (24h change +4.2%)
• Barack Obama: 1.2% (24h change 0%)