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Live market summary

Comoros is favored at 10% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:05 UTC across 11 markets.

  • Comoros: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Mauritania: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Maldives: 9.7% (24h change 0%)
  • Belize: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Iran: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Indonesia: 3.5% (24h change -2.4%)
  • Oman: 3.2% (24h change -0.1%)
  • Syria: 3.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Saudi Arabia: 2.6% (24h change -4.3%)
  • Djibouti: 2.5% (24h change -9.5%)
  • Lebanon: 2.4% (24h change 0%)
international11 marketsLIVE

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

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All options

Iran

9%
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Indonesia

3.5%
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Oman

3.2%
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Syria

3.1%
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Saudi Arabia

2.6%
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Djibouti

2.5%
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Lebanon

2.4%
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About this market

Market question: Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Comoros is favored at 10% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Comoros: 10%; Mauritania: 9.9%; Maldives: 9.7%; Belize: 9%; Iran: 9%; Indonesia: 3.5%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.