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Powered by KalshiTexas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-63%)Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·83%(+56%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·84%(+45%)New York's 17th District margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·16%(-44%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·30%(-42%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)Arkansas's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 36+ pts·59%(-37.8%)Idaho Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 19+ pts·59%(-35%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·89%(+34%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 17+ pts·65%(-34%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·89%(+30%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 20·10%(-28%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)
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Summary

Indonesia is favored at 13% as of 24 Aug 2026, 02:33 UTC across 11 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Indonesia: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Belize: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Djibouti: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Comoros: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Saudi Arabia: 7.9% (24h change +0.5%)
  • Maldives: 7.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Oman: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • Mauritania: 6.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Lebanon: 5.4% (24h change -4.1%)
  • Syria: 5.1% (24h change +0.1%)
  • Iran: 1% (24h change 0%)
international11 marketsLIVE

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

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Saudi Arabia

7.9%
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Oman

7%
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Lebanon

5.4%
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Syria

5.1%
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Iran

1%
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