38 or more is favored at 99% as of 18 Sep 2026, 20:06 UTC across 7 markets.
- 38 or more: 99% (24h change 0%)
- 36 or more: 96% (24h change 0%)
- 44 or more: 77% (24h change 0%)
- 48 or more: 55% (24h change 0%)
- 40 or more: 10% (24h change 0%)
- 46 or more: 2% (24h change 0%)
- 42 or more: 1% (24h change 0%)
How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
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About this market
Market question: How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
38 or more is favored at 99% as of 18 Sep 2026, 20:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
38 or more: 99%; 36 or more: 96%; 44 or more: 77%; 48 or more: 55%; 40 or more: 10%; 46 or more: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.