ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 120 million·4%(-85%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 2·23%(-63%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Rahm Emanuel·77%(+59%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·71%(+42%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)GA-13 special election winner?·Marcye Scott·43%(+26%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 50·57%(-26%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)·Above 150·40%(-24%)Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?·$15 Minimum Wage by 2029·26%(-24%)
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Summary

40 or more is favored at 60% as of 10 Jul 2026, 03:02 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 40 or more: 60% (24h change 0%)
  • 44 or more: 34% (24h change 0%)
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How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?

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