Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·1%(-97%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·99%(+75%)MO-02 House winner?·Fred Wellman·85%(+64%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Pennsylvania·98%(+50%)Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·20%(-43%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·96%(+38%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 11+ pts·23%(-37%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·36%(+30.7%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Volodymyr Zelenskyy·45%(-29%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 11, 2026·54%(+29%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Amy Gleason·71%(+28%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 3·46%(-26%)Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?·Sonia Sotomayor·9%(-23%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·David Kustoff·2.1%(-22.9%)Will White House ballroom construction be halted?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that above-ground physical construction of the White House State Ballroom has been halted by an effective court order or other binding legal restriction before Aug 22, 2026?·1%(-21%)

Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·1%(-97%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·99%(+75%)MO-02 House winner?·Fred Wellman·85%(+64%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Pennsylvania·98%(+50%)Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·20%(-43%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·96%(+38%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 11+ pts·23%(-37%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·36%(+30.7%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Volodymyr Zelenskyy·45%(-29%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 11, 2026·54%(+29%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Amy Gleason·71%(+28%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 3·46%(-26%)Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?·Sonia Sotomayor·9%(-23%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·David Kustoff·2.1%(-22.9%)Will White House ballroom construction be halted?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that above-ground physical construction of the White House State Ballroom has been halted by an effective court order or other binding legal restriction before Aug 22, 2026?·1%(-21%)

Summary

Before Nov 4 is favored at 38% as of 21 Aug 2026, 19:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

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When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?

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Before Nov 4

38%

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$73