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Live market summary

Before Nov 14 is favored at 90% as of 5 Oct 2026, 19:05 UTC across 4 markets.

  • Before Nov 14: 90% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Nov 5: 86% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Nov 4: 40% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 11PM Nov 3: 12% (24h change 0%)
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When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?

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About this market

Market question: When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?

Before Nov 14 is favored at 90% as of 5 Oct 2026, 19:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?

Before Nov 14: 90%; Before Nov 5: 86%; Before Nov 4: 40%; Before 11PM Nov 3: 12%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.