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Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 24·96%(+95%)Pennsylvania State House winner?·Democratic party·46%(-42%)Who will drop out of their primary?·James Fishback·4.7%(-40.3%)Who will Trump pardon?·Do Kwon·24%(-36%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 55·51%(+35%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche·42%(-33%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Aug 1, 2026·32%(-31%)Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?·Ilhan Omar·51%(+31%)How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?·At least 3·53%(+31%)Navajo Nation presidential election winner?·Crystalyne Curley·62%(+28%)Will new tariffs become law?·Before Nov 1, 2026·58%(+28%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Jan 1, 2027·33%(-24%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(+23%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Doug Collins·35%(+23%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Thomas Massie·43%(-22%)
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Summary

Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 23% as of 28 Jul 2026, 20:33 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Jan 1, 2028: 23% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 9% (24h change 0%)
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