Powered by KalshiLA-02 Democratic nominee?·Troy Carter·2%(-93.2%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·2%(-93.2%)LA-01 Democratic nominee?·Lauren Jewett·3%(-92.9%)AL-04 Republican nominee?·Robert Aderholt·6%(-87.2%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Louisiana·92.1%(+80.1%)AL-04 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Pusczek·4%(-78%)CA-47 primary: Who will advance?·Jenny Le Roux·77%(+72.1%)Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?·Buddy Carter·6%(-71%)LA-04 Democratic nominee?·Conrad Cable·2%(-58%)LA-06 Republican nominee?·Larry Davis·2%(-51%)LA-03 Democratic nominee?·Tia LeBrun·1%(-48%)FL-23 Democratic nominee?·Jared Moskowitz·9.1%(-47.9%)CA-30 primary: Who will advance?·Dennis Feitosa·26%(-39%)CA-45 primary: Who will advance?·Chuong Vo·62%(+39%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Lee Murphy·39%(+39%)

Powered by KalshiLA-02 Democratic nominee?·Troy Carter·2%(-93.2%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·2%(-93.2%)LA-01 Democratic nominee?·Lauren Jewett·3%(-92.9%)AL-04 Republican nominee?·Robert Aderholt·6%(-87.2%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Louisiana·92.1%(+80.1%)AL-04 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Pusczek·4%(-78%)CA-47 primary: Who will advance?·Jenny Le Roux·77%(+72.1%)Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?·Buddy Carter·6%(-71%)LA-04 Democratic nominee?·Conrad Cable·2%(-58%)LA-06 Republican nominee?·Larry Davis·2%(-51%)LA-03 Democratic nominee?·Tia LeBrun·1%(-48%)FL-23 Democratic nominee?·Jared Moskowitz·9.1%(-47.9%)CA-30 primary: Who will advance?·Dennis Feitosa·26%(-39%)CA-45 primary: Who will advance?·Chuong Vo·62%(+39%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Lee Murphy·39%(+39%)

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When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Odds history

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Before Aug 1, 2026

99.1%

—

0

Before Jun 1, 2026

99%

—

2,322

Before Jul 1, 2026

98.8%

—

2,923

Before May 15, 2026

97.1%

—

10,350