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Live market summary

Dot Plot Omitted is favored at 29% as of 20 Sep 2026, 12:05 UTC across 5 markets.

  • Dot Plot Omitted: 29% (24h change 0%)
  • Trimmed Mean Emphasized: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Presser Skipped: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Reserve President Rejected: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Reserve President Removed: 3% (24h change 0%)
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Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

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About this market

Market question: Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Dot Plot Omitted is favored at 29% as of 20 Sep 2026, 12:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Dot Plot Omitted: 29%; Trimmed Mean Emphasized: 11%; Presser Skipped: 10%; Reserve President Rejected: 4%; Reserve President Removed: 3%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.