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Powered by KalshiFlorida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 42+ pts·98%(+77%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, 6-9%·71%(+65%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·78%(+62%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Earl Cooper·98%(+56%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 22·72%(+55%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 30·43%(-53%)New Supreme Court justice confirmed?·Before 2028·17%(-53%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Troy Jackson·61%(+50%)MI-07 House winner?·Democratic party·27%(-46%)How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?·1·4%(-43%)2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?·Clémentine Autain·8%(-42%)Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 70+ pts·92%(+42%)Dharmendra Pradhan announces departure as Minister of Education?·Before Sep 1, 2026·96%(+42%)Alaska Governor winner? (Person)·Click Bishop·7.9%(-35.1%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·41%(-31%)
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Summary

Presser Skipped is favored at 50% as of 25 Jul 2026, 08:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Presser Skipped: 50% (24h change 0%)
  • Dot Plot Omitted: 40% (24h change 0%)
  • Trimmed Mean Emphasized: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Reserve President Removed: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Reserve President Rejected: 15% (24h change 0%)
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Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

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