Marine Le Pen is favored at 82% as of 8 Oct 2026, 21:35 UTC across 13 markets.
- Marine Le Pen: 82% (24h change 0%)
- Édouard Philippe: 42% (24h change 0%)
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 33% (24h change 0%)
- Gabriel Attal: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Dominique de Villepin: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Raphaël Glucksmann: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Bernard Cazeneuve: 8% (24h change 0%)
- François Hollande: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Jordan Bardella: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Bruno Retailleau: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Sébastien Lecornu: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Élisabeth Borne: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Olivier Faure: 5% (24h change 0%)
French presidential election: who will advance?
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About this market
Market question: French presidential election: who will advance?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in French presidential election: who will advance?
Marine Le Pen is favored at 82% as of 8 Oct 2026, 21:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for French presidential election: who will advance?
Marine Le Pen: 82%; Édouard Philippe: 42%; Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 33%; Gabriel Attal: 16%; Dominique de Villepin: 10%; Raphaël Glucksmann: 9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.