ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)2028 Democratic Presidential ticket·Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear·9.4%(-88.3%)When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?·Before Nov 1, 2026·18%(-60%)When will Graham Platner officially withdraw?·Before Jul 12, 2026·14%(-57%)Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?·Will any state enact a data center moratorium?·2%(-51%)Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?·Before 2027·64%(+51%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 3·18%(-49%)How will Trump act on the ROAD to Housing Act?·Becomes law without signature·98%(+46%)FL-07 Republican nominee?·Ryan Elijah·62%(+45%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·30%(-40%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 90·15%(-38%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·90%(+37%)Clacton by-election: 2nd place·Count Binface Party·62%(+32%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)VA-01 Democratic nominee?·Salaam Bhatti·34%(+29%)
Back
Summary

Marine Le Pen is favored at 49% as of 10 Jul 2026, 21:03 UTC across 13 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Marine Le Pen: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • Édouard Philippe: 40% (24h change 0%)
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 34% (24h change 0%)
  • Gabriel Attal: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • Raphaël Glucksmann: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Bruno Retailleau: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Dominique de Villepin: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Jordan Bardella: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Bernard Cazeneuve: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • Olivier Faure: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • François Hollande: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Sébastien Lecornu: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Élisabeth Borne: 6% (24h change 0%)
presidential13 marketsLIVE

French presidential election: who will advance?

Trade ↗