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Summary

5 is favored at 89% as of 20 Aug 2026, 21:04 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 5: 89% (24h change -6.1%)
  • 7 or more: 7.9% (24h change +4.1%)
  • 6: 3.9% (24h change +0.1%)
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How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

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Odds history

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5

89%
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7 or more

7.9%
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6

3.9%
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