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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 26, 2026?·39.7·98%(+70%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·76%(+58%)MI-04 House winner?·Sean McCann·40%(-57.1%)Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?·On Nov 16, 2026·75%(+57%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·17%(-54%)Spanish general election winner?·Spanish Socialist Workers' Party·17%(-50%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory·19%(-49%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·5%(-47%)When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?·Before 9PM Aug 25·24%(-46%)Will Trump declare a national emergency?·Before Jan 1, 2027·99%(+42%)IA-02 House winner?·Lindsay James·88%(+41%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·10%(-41%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 53%·1%(-40%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·97%(+39%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/23 - 8/29)·Above 0·99%(+37%)
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Summary

5 or more is favored at 40% as of 26 Aug 2026, 19:04 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 5 or more: 40% (24h change -4%)
  • Exactly 4: 23% (24h change +2%)
  • Exactly 3: 22% (24h change 0%)
  • Exactly 2: 8.4% (24h change 0%)
senate4 marketsLIVE

How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?

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All options

5 or more

40%
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Exactly 4

23%
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