How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
Trade ↗5 or more is favored at 53% as of 24 Oct 2026, 23:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- 5 or more: 53% (24h change -5%)
- Exactly 4: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Exactly 3: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Exactly 2: 7.3% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
5 or more is favored at 53% as of 24 Oct 2026, 23:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
5 or more: 53%; Exactly 4: 20%; Exactly 3: 9%; Exactly 2: 7.3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.