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Powered by KalshiWhen will Trump and Netanyahu meet?·Before Jul 21, 2026·3%(-74%)Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license?·Before Jan 1, 2027·63%(+53%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 8·27%(-53%)NY-12 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 110k·3%(-49%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 17, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·61%(+48%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Jul 2026?·At least 3·30%(-44%)How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?·Above 57·20%(-42%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/12-7/18)·At least 7·39%(-42%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·60%(+41%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/10-7/17)?·Above 40.8%·2%(-41%)DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)·Above 16 million·25%(-39%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/13 - 7/19)·July 14·75%(+36%)WI-01 Democratic nominee?·Mitchell Berman·85%(+34%)FL-22 Republican nominee?·Michael Carbonara·91%(+33%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·John Healey·66%(+32%)
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Summary

AfD is favored at 86% as of 15 Jul 2026, 15:02 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • AfD: 86% (24h change 0%)
  • SPD: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • CDU: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Die Linke: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Grüne: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • FDP: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • BSW: 1% (24h change 0%)
international7 marketsLIVE

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?

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AfD

86%
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SPD

16%
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CDU

1%
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FDP

1%
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BSW

1%
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