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Summary

Republicans, 5+ pts is favored at 78% as of 23 Aug 2026, 18:33 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Republicans, 5+ pts: 78% (24h change +2%)
  • Republicans, 11+ pts: 59% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 14+ pts: 48% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 17+ pts: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 23+ pts: 24% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 26+ pts: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 29+ pts: 2.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Republicans, 20+ pts: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Missouri's 4th District margin of victory

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