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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 26, 2026?·39.7·98%(+70%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·76%(+58%)MI-04 House winner?·Sean McCann·40%(-57.1%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/23-8/29)·At least 7·71%(+56%)Which Alaska candidates will drop out in Aug 2026?·David B. Leslie·17%(-54%)Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?·On Nov 16, 2026·70%(+52%)Spanish general election winner?·Spanish Socialist Workers' Party·17%(-50%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory·19%(-49%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·75%(+48%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·5%(-47%)IA-02 House winner?·Lindsay James·88%(+41%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·10%(-41%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 53%·1%(-40%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·97%(+39%)Will Trump declare a national emergency?·Before Jan 1, 2027·95%(+38%)
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Summary

Democrats, 9+ pts is favored at 99% as of 24 Aug 2026, 10:15 UTC across 11 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Democrats, 9+ pts: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 19+ pts: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 11+ pts: 86% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 13+ pts: 81% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 15+ pts: 76% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 17+ pts: 65% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 21+ pts: 61% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 23+ pts: 42% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 25+ pts: 32% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 27+ pts: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Democrats, 29+ pts: 15% (24h change 0%)
senate11 marketsLIVE

New Jersey Senate margin of victory

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