Democrats, 9+ pts is favored at 84% as of 9 Sep 2026, 19:35 UTC across 11 markets.
- Democrats, 9+ pts: 84% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 11+ pts: 80% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 13+ pts: 73% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 15+ pts: 67% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 17+ pts: 58% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 21+ pts: 30% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 19+ pts: 27% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 23+ pts: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 25+ pts: 8.8% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 27+ pts: 5.1% (24h change 0%)
- Democrats, 29+ pts: 2.9% (24h change 0%)
New Mexico Senate margin of victory
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About this market
Market question: New Mexico Senate margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New Mexico Senate margin of victory?
Democrats, 9+ pts is favored at 84% as of 9 Sep 2026, 19:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New Mexico Senate margin of victory?
Democrats, 9+ pts: 84%; Democrats, 11+ pts: 80%; Democrats, 13+ pts: 73%; Democrats, 15+ pts: 67%; Democrats, 17+ pts: 58%; Democrats, 21+ pts: 30%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.