Powered by KalshiWill California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?·Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?·3%(-87%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, 3-6%·98%(+80%)Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?·Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?·18%(-77%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$52.5 trillion·15%(-76%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·96%(+66%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jae Myung·55%(+43%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Trinh Ha·62%(+42%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Oct 1, 2026·12%(-37%)Virginia's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 36+ pts·34%(-37%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/31-8/7)?·Above 38.1%·75%(+37%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 7, 2026?·Below 39.2·39%(-34%)North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 3.80M·86%(+34%)WI-08 Democratic nominee?·Katrina DeVille·17%(-34%)Who will drop out of their election?·Chuck Edwards·99%(+33%)Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November?·Will Kash Patel visit Russia before Nov 1, 2026?·35%(-33%)

Powered by KalshiWill California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?·Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?·3%(-87%)MI-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Donavan McKinney, 3-6%·98%(+80%)Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?·Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?·18%(-77%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$52.5 trillion·15%(-76%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·96%(+66%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jae Myung·55%(+43%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Trinh Ha·62%(+42%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Oct 1, 2026·12%(-37%)Virginia's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 36+ pts·34%(-37%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/31-8/7)?·Above 38.1%·75%(+37%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 7, 2026?·Below 39.2·39%(-34%)North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 3.80M·86%(+34%)WI-08 Democratic nominee?·Katrina DeVille·17%(-34%)Who will drop out of their election?·Chuck Edwards·99%(+33%)Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November?·Will Kash Patel visit Russia before Nov 1, 2026?·35%(-33%)

Summary

Above 4.70M is favored at 37% as of 6 Aug 2026, 02:33 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

senate6 marketsLIVE

Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

All options

Above 4.70M

37%

▲ +16%

$457

Above 5.30M

19%

—

$110

Above 5.00M

18%

—

$26

Above 5.90M

14%

▲ +14%

$142

Above 5.60M

12%

▲ +3%

$226

Above 6.70M

5%

—

$1