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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?·39.4·1%(-98%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·17%(-82%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·15%(-81%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·89%(+41%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·86%(+41%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?·Ralph Norman, 6-9%·43%(+38%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·88%(+33%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 10·48%(-30%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 50%·64%(+30%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)·At least 5·63%(+29%)Israeli legislative election winner?·Yashar·69%(+28%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 350k·11%(-26%)
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Summary

Above 4.70M is favored at 39% as of 24 Aug 2026, 18:33 UTC across 7 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 4.70M: 39% (24h change -2%)
  • Above 5.00M: 28% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 5.30M: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 5.60M: 17% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 5.90M: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 6.40M: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 6.70M: 5% (24h change 0%)
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Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

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