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Powered by KalshiMI-08 Republican nominee?·Thomas J Smith·99%(+98%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·99%(+91%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·99%(+89%)MO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·1%(-88%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Paul Berry III·99%(+87%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%·90%(+86%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Genesee·3%(-84%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Trinh Ha·5%(-83%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·1%(-70%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 1.5M·97%(+59%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 13+ pts·37%(-55%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 55·22%(-54%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·41%(-53.2%)Virginia's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 36+ pts·71%(+53%)
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Summary

Above 2.5M is favored at 57% as of 1 Aug 2026, 21:03 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 2.5M: 57% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 2.6M: 37% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 2.7M: 32% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 2.9M: 22% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 3M: 14% (24h change 0%)
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Minnesota Governor General Election: voter turnout

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