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Powered by KalshiHI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Ed Case, ≥15%·99%(+88%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Spencer Meline·99%(+75%)NC-11 Republican nominee on Aug 11, 2026?·Tim Moffitt·6%(-67%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·69%(+61%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 35%·64%(+59%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·97.3%(+54.3%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Ed Case·99.9%(+53.9%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kevin Spacey·27%(-53%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Ed Case·99%(+50%)When will the UK's social media ban take effect?·Before Aug 1, 2027·34%(-44%)Wisconsin Attorney General winner?·Republican party·15%(-43%)Ohio's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 6+ pts·58%(+42%)FL-25 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Jared Moskowitz, ≥25%·75%(+28%)CO-04 House winner?·Eileen Laubacher·7.8%(-27.2%)Who will Trump pardon?·Steve Bannon·37%(+26%)
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Summary

Before Aug 10, 2026 is favored at 2% as of 9 Aug 2026, 17:34 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Aug 10, 2026: 2% (24h change -1%)
  • Before Sep 1, 2026: 1% (24h change -19%)
  • Before Aug 9, 2026: 1% (24h change -1%)
  • Before Aug 14, 2026: 1% (24h change -18%)
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