ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 5-10%·1%(-97%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+94.5%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Shevrin Jones·1%(-92%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+91%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-90%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·0.1%(-89.9%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·97%(+88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-88%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Eliott Rodriguez·99%(+87%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-86%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 25%·1%(-82%)FL-15 Democratic nominee?·Chris Irizarry·2%(-81%)FL-02 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Green·99%(+80%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+78%)
Back
Summary

Marjorie Taylor Greene is favored at 38% as of 19 Aug 2026, 18:03 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Marjorie Taylor Greene: 38% (24h change -4%)
  • Lisa Murkowski: 18% (24h change +1%)
  • John Fetterman: 9.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Thomas Massie: 9% (24h change -5%)
  • Henry Cuellar: 8.1% (24h change 0%)
  • Don Bacon: 6.5% (24h change 0%)
policy6 marketsLIVE

Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?

Trade ↗

Odds history

Loading chart

All options