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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·1%(-97%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?·Above 39.5·95%(+94%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·99%(+75%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·86%(+72%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-65%)FL-13 House winner?·Leela Gray·78%(+47%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 4·30%(-42%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 0·17%(-41%)NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?·Decrease 1-1.99%·45%(+40%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·4%(-37%)FL-14 House winner?·Mike Beltran·39%(-36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-35.7%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 14+ pts·51%(+30%)Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?·During Trump's term·10%(-29%)
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Summary

Before Oct 1, 2027 is favored at 74% as of 16 Aug 2026, 21:32 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Oct 1, 2027: 74% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jul 1, 2027: 62% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Apr 1, 2027: 47% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 15% (24h change 0%)
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When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?

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