Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWill Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·90.9%(+87.5%)North Dakota governor winner? (2028)·Republican party·7.4%(-82.6%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before Dec 1, 2026·82%(+72%)WA-06 primary: who will advance?·Teresa Fox·91%(+71%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·85%(+70%)Vermont Governor Winner? (2028)·Republican·4.5%(-52.5%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·21%(-50%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 75k·9%(-44%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·63%(+40%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·3%(-38%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Graham Platner·2%(-37%)When will a Trump passport be issued?·Before Jul 20, 2026·99%(+34%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Rand Paul·77%(+26%)Who will AOC endorse?·Graham Platner·2%(-25%)Maine-Texas Senate Combo·James Talarico and Graham Platner·4%(-24%)
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Summary

Before Oct 1, 2027 is favored at 71% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Oct 1, 2027: 71% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jul 1, 2027: 69% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Apr 1, 2027: 51% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 19% (24h change 0%)
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