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U.S. Midterms 2026
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Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?
·
Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?
·
95%
(+79%)
Minas Gerais Governor winner?
·
Cleitinho Azevedo
·
4%
(-66%)
Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
40%
(-57%)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 250
·
67%
(+56%)
TN-06 Democratic nominee?
·
Chaney Mosley
·
87%
(+52%)
VA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Jason Knapp
·
6%
(-52%)
WA-05 primary: who will advance?
·
Carmela Conroy
·
31%
(-52%)
Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)
·
3-4 AM
·
18%
(-47%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
Above 50
·
47%
(-45%)
Wisconsin Attorney General winner?
·
Republican party
·
58%
(+44%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 32+ pts
·
46%
(+38.5%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (8/2-8/8)
·
At least 4
·
21%
(-38%)
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
·
Ronaldo Caiado
·
30%
(-35%)
How many people will Trump pardon in Aug 2026?
·
0
·
77%
(+35%)
Trump's approval rating on Aug 7, 2026?
·
Below 39.2
·
82%
(+34%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?
·
Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?
·
95%
(+79%)
Minas Gerais Governor winner?
·
Cleitinho Azevedo
·
4%
(-66%)
Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
40%
(-57%)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 250
·
67%
(+56%)
TN-06 Democratic nominee?
·
Chaney Mosley
·
87%
(+52%)
VA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Jason Knapp
·
6%
(-52%)
WA-05 primary: who will advance?
·
Carmela Conroy
·
31%
(-52%)
Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)
·
3-4 AM
·
18%
(-47%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
Above 50
·
47%
(-45%)
Wisconsin Attorney General winner?
·
Republican party
·
58%
(+44%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 32+ pts
·
46%
(+38.5%)
Will Trump do anything this week? (8/2-8/8)
·
At least 4
·
21%
(-38%)
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
·
Ronaldo Caiado
·
30%
(-35%)
How many people will Trump pardon in Aug 2026?
·
0
·
77%
(+35%)
Trump's approval rating on Aug 7, 2026?
·
Below 39.2
·
82%
(+34%)
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Osnabrück mayoral election winner?
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Summary
CDU
is favored at
52%
as of 4 Aug 2026, 02:04 UTC
across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.
CDU: 52% (24h change 0%)
AfD: 5% (24h change 0%)
SPD: 4% (24h change 0%)
Greens: 3% (24h change 0%)
international
4 markets
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Osnabrück mayoral election winner?
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CDU
52
%
—
$7
Trade ↗
AfD
5
%
—
$17
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SPD
4
%
—
$8
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Greens
3
%
—
$8
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