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Powered by KalshiWill a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?·Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?·95%(+79%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Cleitinho Azevedo·4%(-66%)Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?·Before Sep 1, 2026·40%(-57%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 250·67%(+56%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Chaney Mosley·87%(+52%)VA-01 Democratic nominee?·Jason Knapp·6%(-52%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·31%(-52%)Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)·3-4 AM·18%(-47%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·47%(-45%)Wisconsin Attorney General winner?·Republican party·58%(+44%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 32+ pts·46%(+38.5%)Will Trump do anything this week? (8/2-8/8)·At least 4·21%(-38%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place·Ronaldo Caiado·30%(-35%)How many people will Trump pardon in Aug 2026?·0·77%(+35%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 7, 2026?·Below 39.2·82%(+34%)
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Summary

CDU is favored at 52% as of 4 Aug 2026, 02:04 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • CDU: 52% (24h change 0%)
  • AfD: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • SPD: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Greens: 3% (24h change 0%)
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CDU

52%
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AfD

5%
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