J.D. Vance is favored at 44% as of 4 Oct 2026, 12:04 UTC across 39 markets.
- J.D. Vance: 44% (24h change -1%)
- Marco Rubio: 17% (24h change -1%)
- Ron DeSantis: 4.2% (24h change 0%)
- Tucker Carlson: 3% (24h change +0.1%)
- Donald J. Trump Jr.: 2.9% (24h change 0%)
- Donald J. Trump: 2.4% (24h change 0%)
- Ted Cruz: 2% (24h change -0.1%)
- Brian Kemp: 1.6% (24h change -0.1%)
- Ivanka Trump: 1.3% (24h change +0.4%)
- Thomas Massie: 1.2% (24h change 0%)
- Glenn Youngkin: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
- Spencer Pratt: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Jeff Bezos: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Candace Owens: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Lara Trump: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Chris Christie: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Marjorie Taylor Greene: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
- Josh Hawley: 0.8% (24h change 0%)
- Katie Britt: 0.7% (24h change 0%)
- Vivek Ramaswamy: 0.6% (24h change +0.2%)
- Rand Paul: 0.6% (24h change 0%)
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 0.5% (24h change 0%)
- Greg Abbott: 0.5% (24h change -0.2%)
- Pete Hegseth: 0.5% (24h change 0%)
- Tom Cotton: 0.5% (24h change 0%)
- Nikki Haley: 0.4% (24h change +0.1%)
- Byron Donalds: 0.4% (24h change -0.2%)
- Mike Pence: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders: 0.4% (24h change -0.3%)
- Tulsi Gabbard: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
- Eric Trump: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
- Elon Musk: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
- Nicki Minaj: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
- Matt Gaetz: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
- Steve Bannon: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
- John Thune: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
- Erika Kirk: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Elise Stefanik: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
- Kristi Noem: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: 2028 Republican presidential nominee
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
J.D. Vance is favored at 44% as of 4 Oct 2026, 12:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
J.D. Vance: 44%; Marco Rubio: 17%; Ron DeSantis: 4.2%; Tucker Carlson: 3%; Donald J. Trump Jr.: 2.9%; Donald J. Trump: 2.4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.