J.D. Vance is favored at 41% as of 5 Jul 2026, 15:32 UTC across 38 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

• J.D. Vance: 41% (24h change -1%)
• Marco Rubio: 29% (24h change -1%)
• Ron DeSantis: 4.7% (24h change -0.1%)
• Donald J. Trump Jr.: 4.2% (24h change -0.1%)
• Tucker Carlson: 3.2% (24h change +1.1%)
• Donald J. Trump: 2.7% (24h change +0.1%)
• Thomas Massie: 1.8% (24h change -0.1%)
• Ivanka Trump: 1.2% (24h change 0%)
• Ted Cruz: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Marjorie Taylor Greene: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Lara Trump: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Spencer Pratt: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Jeff Bezos: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Candace Owens: 1% (24h change 0%)
• Glenn Youngkin: 0.9% (24h change 0%)
• Josh Hawley: 0.9% (24h change 0%)
• Brian Kemp: 0.7% (24h change -0.1%)
• Rand Paul: 0.7% (24h change 0%)
• Nikki Haley: 0.6% (24h change 0%)
• Sarah Huckabee Sanders: 0.6% (24h change 0%)
• Tulsi Gabbard: 0.6% (24h change 0%)
• Vivek Ramaswamy: 0.5% (24h change 0%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
• Byron Donalds: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
• Steve Bannon: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
• Pete Hegseth: 0.4% (24h change 0%)
• Greg Abbott: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
• Mike Pence: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
• Erika Kirk: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
• Tom Cotton: 0.3% (24h change -0.1%)
• Eric Trump: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
• Matt Gaetz: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Elise Stefanik: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Katie Britt: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• John Thune: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Kristi Noem: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Nicki Minaj: 0.2% (24h change 0%)
• Elon Musk: 0.1% (24h change 0%)