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Powered by KalshiWill a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?·Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?·95%(+79%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 250·73%(+62%)When will Todd Blanche be confirmed?·Before Sep 1, 2026·79%(+61%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Cleitinho Azevedo·9%(-53%)VA-01 Democratic nominee?·Jason Knapp·6%(-52%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Sep 1, 2026·96%(+51%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Thom Tillis·98%(+50%)Will DOJ formally eliminate the Anti-Weaponization Fund?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Department of Justice formally terminates the Anti-Weaponization Fund through a legally operative written instrument before Jan 1, 2027?·99%(+50%)Who will drop out of their election?·Max Miller (before 8/5)·17%(-48%)Wisconsin Attorney General winner?·Republican party·58%(+44%)Will Todd Blanche's nomination be withdrawn?·Before Jan 1, 2027·4%(-43%)How many Senators will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?·Above 49·91%(+40%)How many people will Trump pardon in Aug 2026?·0·77%(+39%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 32+ pts·46%(+38.5%)When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?·Before Oct 2026·54%(-34%)
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Summary

Jared Moskowitz, ≥5% is favored at 92% as of 4 Aug 2026, 02:04 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Jared Moskowitz, ≥5%: 92% (24h change 0%)
  • Jared Moskowitz, ≥30%: 64% (24h change 0%)
  • Jared Moskowitz, ≥35%: 42% (24h change 0%)
  • Jared Moskowitz, ≥45%: 22% (24h change 0%)
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