Powered by KalshiHow many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?·At least 1·4%(-80%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kamala Harris·10%(-73%)LA-06 House winner?·Republican party·69%(+63.7%)How long will the next FISA authorization be?·At least 90 days·5%(-61%)Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?·Graham Platner, ≥50%·80%(+60%)When will DHS be funded again?·Before May 8, 2026·90%(+59%)How long will the government shutdown last?·At least 80 days·24%(-53%)Who will be arrested before 2027?·Letitia James·62%(+47%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before May 22, 2026·69%(+36%)Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?·Stephen Miran·41%(-25%)LA-02 House winner?·Democratic party·73%(-24.5%)When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?·Before Jan 1, 2027·54%(-22%)Ohio State House winner?·Democratic party·11%(-20%)Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?·Anthony Fauci·38%(+18%)Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·61%(-18%)

Powered by KalshiHow many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?·At least 1·4%(-80%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kamala Harris·10%(-73%)LA-06 House winner?·Republican party·69%(+63.7%)How long will the next FISA authorization be?·At least 90 days·5%(-61%)Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?·Graham Platner, ≥50%·80%(+60%)When will DHS be funded again?·Before May 8, 2026·90%(+59%)How long will the government shutdown last?·At least 80 days·24%(-53%)Who will be arrested before 2027?·Letitia James·62%(+47%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before May 22, 2026·69%(+36%)Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?·Stephen Miran·41%(-25%)LA-02 House winner?·Democratic party·73%(-24.5%)When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?·Before Jan 1, 2027·54%(-22%)Ohio State House winner?·Democratic party·11%(-20%)Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?·Anthony Fauci·38%(+18%)Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·61%(-18%)

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Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory

Odds history

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Keisha Lance Bottoms, ≥25%

28%

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0

Jason Esteves wins

11%

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0

Michael Thurmond wins

11%

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0

Keisha Lance Bottoms, 0-5%

6%

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0

Keisha Lance Bottoms, 5-10%

6%

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0

Keisha Lance Bottoms, 10-15%

6%

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0

Keisha Lance Bottoms, 15-20%

6%

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0

Keisha Lance Bottoms, 20-25%

6%

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0

Geoff Duncan wins

2%

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1