Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
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International
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·
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GA-11 Democratic nominee?
·
Chris Harden
·
80%
(+79%)
How many federal judges will be confirmed in May 2026?
·
At least 2
·
95%
(+77%)
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
·
Above 70k
·
35%
(-53%)
What will Trump announce as part of his China trip?
·
Fentanyl precursor crackdown
·
31%
(-50%)
Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 38+ pts
·
52%
(+48.3%)
Connecticut Republican Governor nominee?
·
Erin Stewart
·
0.1%
(-44.9%)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
·
Raúl Castro
·
63%
(+42%)
How many people will Trump pardon in June 2026?
·
0
·
46%
(+39%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/11 - 5/17)
·
Above 30
·
55%
(+38%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Hillary Clinton
·
71%
(+37%)
LA-02 Democratic nominee?
·
Troy Carter
·
44%
(-36%)
Traffic through the Panama Canal in May 2026?
·
Above 950
·
2%
(-33%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: 2nd place (1st round)
·
Mike Collins
·
41%
(+33%)
Trump's approval rating on May 15, 2026?
·
40.2 to 40.4
·
56%
(+32%)
AL-01 Republican nominee?
·
Jerry Carl
·
79%
(+29%)
Powered by
Kalshi
GA-11 Democratic nominee?
·
Chris Harden
·
80%
(+79%)
How many federal judges will be confirmed in May 2026?
·
At least 2
·
95%
(+77%)
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
·
Above 70k
·
35%
(-53%)
What will Trump announce as part of his China trip?
·
Fentanyl precursor crackdown
·
31%
(-50%)
Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 38+ pts
·
52%
(+48.3%)
Connecticut Republican Governor nominee?
·
Erin Stewart
·
0.1%
(-44.9%)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
·
Raúl Castro
·
63%
(+42%)
How many people will Trump pardon in June 2026?
·
0
·
46%
(+39%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/11 - 5/17)
·
Above 30
·
55%
(+38%)
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
·
Hillary Clinton
·
71%
(+37%)
LA-02 Democratic nominee?
·
Troy Carter
·
44%
(-36%)
Traffic through the Panama Canal in May 2026?
·
Above 950
·
2%
(-33%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: 2nd place (1st round)
·
Mike Collins
·
41%
(+33%)
Trump's approval rating on May 15, 2026?
·
40.2 to 40.4
·
56%
(+32%)
AL-01 Republican nominee?
·
Jerry Carl
·
79%
(+29%)
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Volume
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Above 550k
89
%
—
0
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Above 600k
81
%
—
0
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Above 650k
72
%
—
0
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Above 700k
57
%
—
0
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Above 750k
42
%
—
0
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Above 800k
27
%
—
0
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Above 850k
12
%
—
0
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