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Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?·39.3·1%(-98%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·19%(-77%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·24%(-75%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 45·86%(+74%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·44%(-53.3%)How many government shutdowns in 2026?·3·68%(+46%)Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 300·69%(+41%)New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 8+ pts·31%(-39%)Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?·Ulrich Siegmund·47%(-39%)Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?·U.S.–Mexico interim agreement·33%(-39%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·83%(+36%)Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?·COVID-19·14%(-34%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 200·78%(+33%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·49%(+33%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 53%·21%(-33%)
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Summary

10% or above is favored at 72% as of 8 Aug 2026, 13:34 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 10% or above: 72% (24h change 0%)
  • 30% or above: 12% (24h change 0%)
policy2 marketsLIVE

What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

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