ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiFlorida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 42+ pts·98%(+77%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·78%(+62%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Earl Cooper·98%(+56%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·18%(-53%)MI-07 House winner?·Democratic party·27%(-46%)NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)·Above $75M·46%(-43%)Massachusetts's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 70+ pts·92%(+42%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Ron DeSantis·69%(+42%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·60%(+41%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(-39%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·27%(-37%)Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place·Reform UK·89%(+34%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 20·58%(-32%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·41%(-31%)Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?·Shas·39%(+30%)
Back
Summary

10% or above is favored at 79% as of 26 Jul 2026, 02:33 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

  • 10% or above: 79% (24h change 0%)
policy1 marketLIVE

What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

Trade ↗

All options