Uganda is favored at 35% as of 19 Aug 2026, 20:33 UTC across 18 markets. Kalshi odds.

• Uganda: 35% (24h change 0%)
• Syria: 19% (24h change 0%)
• Democratic Republic of the Congo: 16% (24h change 0%)
• Yemen: 14% (24h change 0%)
• Lebanon: 11% (24h change -4%)
• Ukraine: 11% (24h change 0%)
• South Sudan: 7.1% (24h change 0%)
• Iran: 6.8% (24h change 0%)
• Haiti: 6.6% (24h change 0%)
• Iraq: 6.6% (24h change 0%)
• Afghanistan: 5.8% (24h change 0%)
• Libya: 5.1% (24h change 0%)
• Gaza: 4.1% (24h change 0%)
• North Korea: 3.4% (24h change 0%)
• Sudan: 3.2% (24h change 0%)
• Somalia: 3% (24h change 0%)
• Russia: 2.6% (24h change 0%)
• Burma (Myanmar): 2.2% (24h change 0%)